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Would this be a correct statement?
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RexxCrow
Captain
Joined: Sat Jun 18, 2005 2:00 am Posts: 2214 Location: USA
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Regarding the bust ratio, I was trying to explain it at once...
Ratio of successful attempts to chances of Busting (All Game Modes) 1:50, although this ratio does not guarantee you will bust only once per fifty attempts nor Bust after or upon 50 successful attempts, simply that approximately 2% of your total attempts will result in a Bust.
Oh, ok I was under the impression that you were guaranteed to Bust once every 50 attempts to I thought it must have ot use a counter then, so in actually you could possibly do 60 consecutively successful attempts as well as Bust 10 straight times. I reworded it, hope that is better?
_________________ Your reliance upon subjective IRM's, subjugates you through utter omission, obfuscation, and distortion of fact! Don't mess with me, I will 26 U.S.C. ยง 7212(a) your IRS!
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| Sun Apr 23, 2006 2:58 am |
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Singularity
Veteran Op
Joined: Thu Jun 02, 2005 2:00 am Posts: 5558 Location: USA
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Uh... well you're talking about the law of averages (law of large numbers).
If I flip a fair coin (2 sides) then each side will come up 50% of the time. However
each trial is independant of the previous ones, so just because you flip it once and
get tails doesn't mean you won't get tails a 2nd time. You could get tails 10 times
in a row, but... as the number of trials approaches infinity the number of tails will
equal the number of heads. That's called the law of large numbers. Applies to all
things with true random dispersion (rolling dice, dealing cards, etc).
Now computers use psuedo-random math, so... in reality the pattern is a bit different
but for all discussion we can say that over hundreds, thousands, millions of red
operations w/ a proper steal factor the bust odds are about 1 in 50, according to
several people here who have tracked it.
No counters are involved. It just means you have a 2% chance of busting, like saying
you have a 2% chance of rain or a 2% chance of getting into a car accident or whatever,
it may or may not happen at any one point in time... but over millions of points it
will happen 2% of the outcome space.
This game was made by someone that loved math in high school. =)
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| Sun Apr 23, 2006 3:39 am |
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Kavanagh
Ambassador
Joined: Wed Feb 28, 2001 3:00 am Posts: 1410 Location: Boo! inc. Ireland
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quote:Originally posted by Singularity
Uh... well you're talking about the law of averages (law of large numbers).
SNIP
Now computers use psuedo-random math, so... in reality the pattern is a bit different
This game was made by someone that loved math in high school. =)
END SNIP
All "Random numbers" are psuedo "random". It is impossible to generate a unique random number string in a universe of N degrees of freedom, needs N+1.
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| Sun Apr 23, 2006 11:21 pm |
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