| www.ClassicTW.com http://www.classictw.com/ |
|
| Would this be a correct statement? http://www.classictw.com/viewtopic.php?f=13&t=17216 |
Page 1 of 1 |
| Author: | RexxCrow [ Sun Apr 23, 2006 2:58 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
Regarding the bust ratio, I was trying to explain it at once... Ratio of successful attempts to chances of Busting (All Game Modes) 1:50, although this ratio does not guarantee you will bust only once per fifty attempts nor Bust after or upon 50 successful attempts, simply that approximately 2% of your total attempts will result in a Bust. Oh, ok I was under the impression that you were guaranteed to Bust once every 50 attempts to I thought it must have ot use a counter then, so in actually you could possibly do 60 consecutively successful attempts as well as Bust 10 straight times. I reworded it, hope that is better? |
|
| Author: | Singularity [ Sun Apr 23, 2006 3:39 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
Uh... well you're talking about the law of averages (law of large numbers). If I flip a fair coin (2 sides) then each side will come up 50% of the time. However each trial is independant of the previous ones, so just because you flip it once and get tails doesn't mean you won't get tails a 2nd time. You could get tails 10 times in a row, but... as the number of trials approaches infinity the number of tails will equal the number of heads. That's called the law of large numbers. Applies to all things with true random dispersion (rolling dice, dealing cards, etc). Now computers use psuedo-random math, so... in reality the pattern is a bit different but for all discussion we can say that over hundreds, thousands, millions of red operations w/ a proper steal factor the bust odds are about 1 in 50, according to several people here who have tracked it. No counters are involved. It just means you have a 2% chance of busting, like saying you have a 2% chance of rain or a 2% chance of getting into a car accident or whatever, it may or may not happen at any one point in time... but over millions of points it will happen 2% of the outcome space. This game was made by someone that loved math in high school. =) |
|
| Author: | Kavanagh [ Sun Apr 23, 2006 11:21 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
quote:Originally posted by Singularity Uh... well you're talking about the law of averages (law of large numbers). SNIP Now computers use psuedo-random math, so... in reality the pattern is a bit different This game was made by someone that loved math in high school. =) END SNIP All "Random numbers" are psuedo "random". It is impossible to generate a unique random number string in a universe of N degrees of freedom, needs N+1. |
|
| Page 1 of 1 | All times are UTC - 5 hours |
| Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group http://www.phpbb.com/ |
|